The leaders of America’s top companies see flat expectations for sales, capital expenditures and employment over the next six months, with strong demand from overseas markets providing some relief from the U.S. downturn, according to Business Roundtable’s first quarter 2008 CEO Economic Outlook Survey, released today.
The Business Roundtable CEO Economic Outlook Index—which reflects sales, capital expenditures, and employment figures for the next six months—was unchanged in the first quarter of 2008, remaining at 79.5, the same level as the fourth quarter of 2007. Business Roundtable is an association of chief executive officers of leading corporations, representing a combined workforce of nearly 10 million employees and $4.5 trillion in annual revenues.
“Despite the current downturn in the U.S., this quarter’s results suggest that member CEOs have a steady outlook for their businesses over the next six months, with expectations for sales, capital expenditures and employment all remaining virtually unchanged,” says Harold McGraw III, chairman of Business Roundtable and chairman, president and CEO of The McGraw-Hill Companies. “The CEOs surveyed preside over our country’s largest companies, all of which are actively engaged in the international economy. Today, more than ever, these companies’ outlooks are bolstered by the strong demand for U.S. goods and services from around the world. Additionally, the Fed’s recent actions to inject more liquidity into the system are expected to have a positive impact in the months ahead.”
The survey’s key findings for the next six months include:
Increase
No Change
Decrease
1. How do you expect your company's sales to change in the next six months?
70%
21%
9%
2. How do you expect your company's U.S. capital spending to change in the next six months?
35%
50%
15%
3. How do you expect your company's U.S. employment to change in the next six months?
30%
48%
22%
CEO Economic Outlook Index for First Quarter
On overall U.S. economic growth, member CEOs estimate that GDP growth will be 1.5%; down from the 2.1% GDP growth assumed last quarter.
